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Twente vs Nijmegen Prediction 23 May 2025
May 22, 2025

What to expect from the intense clash between Twente and NEC Nijmegen in the Eredivisie playoff semifinals for a spot in the Europa Conference League? Twente are in decent form, having secured sixth place in the standings. NEC Nijmegen finished in eighth and are still hopeful of making it to European competitions. Both teams favor an attacking style of play, but their defense leaves much to be desired, as evidenced by their average goals conceded. In their last encounter, Twente claimed a 2-0 victory, adding an extra layer of intrigue to this showdown.

Head-to-Head

The last official encounter between the teams took place on 23 February 2025 and ended with a scoreline of 2:0. Here's a comparative breakdown of that match (home team – Twente):

  • ball possession percentage: 48% vs 52%;
  • corner kicks: 2 vs 4;
  • fouls: 11 vs 8;
  • yellow cards: 1 vs 2;
  • shots on target: 5 vs 2.

Statistical preview of official matches between the teams Twente and NEC Nijmegen:

  • played 17 matches;
  • number of wins for the home team – 10, for the away team – 5, draws – 2;
  • number of goals – 35 against 22;
  • average total in the 1st half – 1.06, in the 2nd half – 2.29;
  • average total goals in the match – 3.35.

Twente Team Overview

The team's most recent official match took place on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team – Ajax Amsterdam, away team – Twente). The match concluded with a scoreline of 2:0.

Here's the game statistics (Twente vs Ajax Amsterdam):

  • ball possession: 47% vs 53%;
  • corner kicks: 6 vs 4;
  • fouls: 17 vs 10;
  • yellow cards: 2 vs 0;
  • shots on target: 3 vs 3.

Twente are having a solid season, currently sitting in sixth place with fifteen wins to their name. Their style of play focuses on attacking football, emphasizing ball control and frequent wing play. However, their form has been inconsistent, with three wins and five losses in the last ten matches highlighting some defensive issues. At home, they rarely lose, bolstered by strong fan support. In their most recent head-to-head encounter, they defeated their opponent 2-0.

NEC Nijmegen Team Overview

The away team played their last official match on as part of the Eredivisie tournament (home team – Heracles Almelo, away – NEC Nijmegen). The match concluded with a scoreline of 1:2.

Here are the match stats (NEC Nijmegen vs Heracles Almelo):

  • ball possession: 48% vs 52%;
  • corner kicks: 5 vs 9;
  • fouls: 9 vs 10;
  • yellow cards: 1 vs 0;
  • shots on target: 7 vs 6.

NEC Nijmegen have been delivering solid performances on the road, thanks to their organized midfield play and rapid counter-attacking strategy. They have won five out of their last ten matches, showcasing a consistent level of play compared to the start of the season. However, their attack sometimes struggles against stronger opponents, as they've scored fewer than 1.5 goals in many head-to-head encounters with Twente. Despite this, the "Canaries" remain a formidable opponent for any team in the league.

Prediction for the 1st half

Head-to-Head Matches:

  • Total encounters – 17;
  • First-half wins at home for hosts – 7; for visitors away – 0; number of draws – 2;
  • Average first-half total: 1.06;
  • Today's home team scores on average 0.65, while the visitors net 0.41.

First-Half Stats: Twente (home) vs NEC Nijmegen (away)

  • Number of matches played in the tournament: 17 vs 17;
  • Number of wins: 9 (0.53%) vs 2 (0.12%);
  • Number of losses: 3 (0.18%) vs 7 (0.41%);
  • Number of draws: 5 (0.29%) vs 8 (0.47%);
  • Average goals scored: 1.71 vs 1;
  • Average goals conceded: 0.65 vs 0.76.

Last 10 Matches (Overall):

  • Number of wins: 4 vs 1;
  • Number of losses: 3 vs 4;
  • Number of draws: 3 vs 5;
  • Average first-half total: 1.7 (scored – 0.9, conceded – 0.8) vs 0.7 (scored – 0.2, conceded – 0.5).
  • Twente scored in the 1st half in last 13 home games (Eredivisie).
  • Twente scored in the 1st half in last 9 home games.

Prediction on the outcome

H2H:

  • number of encounters – 17;
  • home team wins – 10, away team wins – 5, draws – 2.

Statistics: Twente vs NEC Nijmegen

  • matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 34;
  • wins: 15 vs 12;
  • win percentage: 44% vs 35%;
  • losses: 10 vs 15;
  • draws: 9 vs 7.

Last 10 matches:

  • wins: 3 vs 5;
  • losses: 5 vs 3;
  • draws: 2 vs 2.
  • NEC Nijmegen won with a +1.5 handicap in 10 of last 11 games (Eredivisie).

Prediction on the over/under

H2H

  • today's home team scores on average - 2.06, the guests - 1.29;
  • average Over/Under goals in H2H matches - 3.35;
  • both teams scored: overall - 7; at the home team's field - 4.

Statistics: Twente vs NEC Nijmegen

  • average total in the tournament: 3.26 vs 2.85;
  • average total goals scored: 1.82 vs 1.5;
  • average total in the 1st half: 0.88 vs 0.47;
  • average total in the 2nd half: 0.94 vs 1.03;
  • Twente: average total at home in the tournament -  2.12;
  • NEC Nijmegen: average total away in the tournament - 0.88;
  • last 10 matches (average total): 1.3 (home - 1.5) vs 1.7 (away - 1.2).
  • Under 3.5 goals scored in last 9 NEC Nijmegen away games (Eredivisie).
  • Under 3.5 goals scored in last 7 NEC Nijmegen games (Eredivisie).

Prediction on corners

Twente: Statistics

  • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 5.24; at home field - 5.35;
  • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 5.2; at home field - 4.33.

NEC Nijmegen: Statistics

  • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 4.85, away - 4.76;
  • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 3.6; away - 3.6.
  • Over 8.5 corners in 6 of last 7 Twente games (Eredivisie).
  • Over 8.5 corners in 18 of last 20 NEC Nijmegen away games.
  • Over 8.5 corners in 17 of last 19 NEC Nijmegen away games (Eredivisie).

Prediction on cards

H2H

  • average Over/Under yellow cards in H2H matches - 1.64 (0.82 for home team and 0.82 for away team);
  • average Over/Under yellow cards at the home team's field - 3.11 (1.22 for home team and 1.89 for away team).

Twente: Statistics

  • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.26; at home - 0.94;
  • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 1.2; at home - 1.

NEC Nijmegen: Statistics

  • season: average Over/Under in the tournament - 1.32, away - 1.59;
  • last 10 matches: average Over/Under - 2.4; away - 3.

Prediction on BTTS

H2H:

  • number of encounters – 17;
  • both teams scored all-time - 7 times;
  • on the home team’s field - 4 times.

Statistics: Twente vs NEC Nijmegen

  • number of matches played in the tournament: 34 vs 34;
  • number of matches in the season where both teams scored (BTTS): 21 vs 16;
  • number of BTTS matches for Twente at home – 9 (53%);
  • number of BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen away – 3 (18%).

Last 10 matches:

  • number of BTTS matches: 6 vs 5;
  • BTTS matches for Twente at home – 4 (67%);
  • BTTS matches for NEC Nijmegen away – 1 (20%).

Editorial Prediction

Both teams finished the regular season in the top eight and now enter the decisive battle for a spot in European competitions. The match promises to be dynamic and full of attacking plays from both sides, especially considering their playing styles. Twente are aggressive in attack and consistently apply pressure on the opponent's half: the over 8.5 corners bet has hit in six of their last seven matches. NEC Nijmegen also maintain a high tempo, with the same bet winning in 18 of their last 20 away games. Given the attacking nature of both teams, betting on over 8.5 corners seems like a reasonable choice.

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